DOI: 10.1002/wcc.255
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84893770170
论文题名: Climate change and Australia
作者: Head L ; , Adams M ; , Mcgregor H ; V ; , Toole S
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期: 2 起始页码: 175
结束页码: 197
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biodiversity
; Carbon
; Greenhouse gases
; Rain
; Renewable energy resources
; Anthropogenic climate changes
; Climate variability
; Cultural diversity
; Electricity generation
; Governance mechanisms
; Long-term potential
; Renewable energy source
; Worst case scenario
; Climate change
; biodiversity
; climate change
; extreme event
; flooding
; greenhouse gas
; rainfall
; warming
; wildfire
; Australia
英文摘要: Australia has had a variable and mostly arid climate as long as humans have been on the continent. Historically observed trends toward increased warming, with rainfall increases in many tropical areas and rainfall decreases in many temperate areas, are projected to continue. Impacts will be geographically variable but mostly negative for biodiversity, agriculture, and infrastructure. Extreme events such as bushfires and floods will increase in frequency and intensity, concentrated in summer. With an economy heavily dependent on coal for domestic electricity generation and as an export commodity, Australians are high per capita contributors to anthropogenic climate change. A quarter-century of steps to mitigation led in 2012 to a carbon price that has the long-term potential to shift the economy toward more renewable energy sources. However as in other parts of the world this change has come too late, and is proceeding too slowly, to avoid significant climate change. A heritage of indigenous adaptation, strong volunteer cultures, and contemporary cultural diversity provide Australia with considerable adaptive capacity for gradual changes, but the nation is underprepared for sudden or step changes. We identify four pressing research and policy needs focused on such changes: (1) systematic attention to processes and impacts of negative transformative change, or worst-case scenarios, (2) improve forecasts of year-to-year rainfall and climate variability, focusing on processes and climate drivers that may change in response to higher greenhouse gases, (3) identification and engagement of diverse cross-cultural resources, and (4) articulation of alternative governance mechanisms that can interact dynamically with strong government. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76326
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Australian Centre for Cultural Environmental Research (AUSCCER), University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Head L,, Adams M,, Mcgregor H,et al. Climate change and Australia[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(2)