DOI: 10.1002/wcc.291
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84906224968
论文题名: Climate projections for ecologists
作者: Harris R ; M ; B ; , Grose M ; R ; , Lee G ; , Bindoff N ; L ; , Porfirio L ; L ; , Fox-Hughes P
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期: 5 起始页码: 621
结束页码: 637
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate models
; Ecology
; Climate projection
; Downscaling methods
; Ecological response
; Future projections
; Global circulation model
; Intergovernmental panel on climate changes
; Spatial and temporal scale
; Statistical downscaling
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; downscaling
; ecological modeling
; ecosystem response
英文摘要: Climate projections are essential for studying ecological responses to climate change, and their use is now common in ecology. However, the lack of integration between ecology and climate science has restricted understanding of the available climate data and their appropriate use. We provide an overview of climate model outputs and issues that need to be considered when applying projections of future climate in ecological studies. We outline the strengths and weaknesses of available climate projections, the uncertainty associated with future projections at different spatial and temporal scales, the differences between available downscaling methods (dynamical, statistical downscaling, and simple scaling of global circulation model output), and the implications these have for ecological models. We describe some of the changes in the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), including the new representative concentration pathways. We highlight some of the challenges in using model projections in ecological studies and suggest how to effectively address them. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76355
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia; CSIRO, Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, VIC, Australia; Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR), CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart, TAS, Australia; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS), University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Hobart, TAS, Australia; Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart, TAS, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Harris R,M,B,et al. Climate projections for ecologists[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(5)