| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.211
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84876190034
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| 论文题名: | Winter mortality in a warming climate: A reassessment |
| 作者: | Ebi K; L; , Mills D
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2013
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| 卷: | 4, 期:3 | | 起始页码: | 203
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| 结束页码: | 212
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Health risks
; Population statistics
; Pulmonary diseases
; Cardio-vascular disease
; Increased temperature
; Infection rates
; National assessment
; Temperate climate
; Warming climate
; Winter months
; Winter mortality
; Climate change
; cardiovascular disease
; climate change
; climate effect
; global warming
; health risk
; mortality
; respiratory disease
; risk assessment
; winter
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| 英文摘要: | In temperate climates, mortality is higher in the winter than the summer. Most wintertime deaths are attributed to cardiovascular and respiratory disease, with hypothermia from extreme cold accounting for a negligible share of all recorded deaths. International and national assessments of the health risks of climate change often conclude that increased temperatures from climate change will likely reduce winter mortality. This article examines the support for this hypothesis. We find that although there is a physiological basis for increased cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality during winter months, the limited evidence suggests cardiovascular disease mortality is only weakly associated with temperature. Although respiratory disease mortality shows a stronger seasonal relationship with colder temperatures, cold alone does not explain infection rates. Further, respiratory disease mortality is a relatively small proportion of winter deaths. Therefore, assuming no changes in acclimatization and the degree to which temperature-related deaths are prevented, climate change may alter the balance of deaths between winters and summers, but is unlikely to dramatically reduce overall winter mortality rates. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76367
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | ClimAdapt, LLC, Los Altos, CA, United States; Stratus Consulting, Boulder, CO, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Ebi K,L,, Mills D. Winter mortality in a warming climate: A reassessment[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2013-01-01,4(3)
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