DOI: 10.1002/wcc.159
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84858657181
论文题名: Short-term and long-term climate mitigation policy in Italy
作者: Massetti E
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2012
卷: 3, 期: 2 起始页码: 171
结束页码: 183
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Electric power systems
; Carbon capture and sequestrations
; Carbon intensity
; Climate mitigations
; Historical data
; Integrated assessment models
; Kyoto mechanism
; Reducing emissions
; Technical change
; Carbon capture
英文摘要: This article briefly discusses climate mitigation policy in Italy. It first reviews the recent policy action and then assesses the challenges ahead. It shows that emissions in 2012 will be below the Kyoto target only if the carbon intensity of the economies continues to decline at the pre-crisis rate. Even in this favorable case, the use of Kyoto mechanisms will likely be necessary to compensate for the high emissions of 2008. This article then examines the implications of reducing emissions in 2050 by 80% with respect to the present level, as proposed by Major Economies Leaders during the 2009 G8 meeting. In particular, the article focuses on the transformations needed in the power sector. Scenarios developed using the integrated assessment model World Induced Hybrid Technical Change (WITCH) and an analysis of historical data show that (1) electricity in 2050 must come with zero (or possibly negative) emissions, and therefore, absent nuclear power and (2) carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) must play a major role in future power supply, even with a massive development of wind and photovoltaic. The article then proposes five pillars on which a sensible, long-term, ambitious Italian climate mitigation policy should rest. © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76423
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States; Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano, Italy; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Venice, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Massetti E. Short-term and long-term climate mitigation policy in Italy[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2012-01-01,3(2)