DOI: 10.1002/wcc.93
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79961216678
论文题名: Applications of integrated assessment modeling to climate change
作者: Sarofim M ; C ; , Reilly J ; M
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期: 1 起始页码: 27
结束页码: 44
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate models
; Computation theory
; Decision making
; Economics
; Emission control
; Greenhouse gases
; Assessment process
; Climate sensitivity
; Computational framework
; Emission reduction
; Integrated assessment
; Integrated assessment models
; Scientific issues
; Temperature changes
; Climate change
英文摘要: Climate change studies are often interdisciplinary by nature, incorporating many domains of science, economics, and political theory. Integrated assessment (IA) aims to bring diverse scientific, economics and social science expertise together to provide analysis and advice that comprehensively addresses all or at least many aspects of the climate change issue. IA methods have been applied to many areas of climate change providing insights into areas such as optimal timing of emission reductions, weighting of different greenhouse gases, or impacts of biofuel policies. Additionally, IAs have identified key uncertainties that should be priorities of future research, such as the need to understand oceanic heat uptake in order to better constrain climate sensitivity and predict future timing of temperature change. These assessments have also served to establish ongoing communication within the community of researchers, and between researchers and policy makers. In complex scientific issues it is often difficult for policy makers and the public to sort out conflicting scientific views, and an authoritative assessment process can provide consensus views on the issue, accepting that in some cases the "consensus" may be that some aspects of the issue remain unresolved. This review explores the history and applications of these IAs, and identifies avenues for future emphasis. We briefly review the whole field of IAs of climate change, but focus on the role of formal computational frameworks in IA models. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76458
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC, United States; MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Sarofim M,C,, Reilly J,et al. Applications of integrated assessment modeling to climate change[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(1)