DOI: 10.1002/wcc.125
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79961231820
论文题名: Stratospheric temperature trends: Our evolving understanding
作者: Seidel D ; J ; , Gillett N ; P ; , Lanzante J ; R ; , Shine K ; P ; , Thorne P ; W
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期: 4 起始页码: 592
结束页码: 616
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Greenhouse gases
; Radiosondes
; Solar energy
; Troposphere
; Volcanoes
; Global-mean temperature
; Lower stratosphere
; Scientific literature
; Stratospheric temperature
; Temperature observations
; Tropospheric temperature
; Tropospheric warming
; Vertical structures
; Upper atmosphere
英文摘要: We review the scientific literature since the 1960s to examine the evolution of modeling tools and observations that have advanced understanding of global stratospheric temperature changes. Observations show overall cooling of the stratosphere during the period for which they are available (since the late 1950s and late 1970s from radiosondes and satellites, respectively), interrupted by episodes of warming associated with volcanic eruptions, and superimposed on variations associated with the solar cycle. There has been little global mean temperature change since about 1995. The temporal and vertical structure of these variations are reasonably well explained by models that include changes in greenhouse gases, ozone, volcanic aerosols, and solar output, although there are significant uncertainties in the temperature observations and regarding the nature and influence of past changes in stratospheric water vapor. As a companion to a recent WIREs review of tropospheric temperature trends, this article identifies areas of commonality and contrast between the tropospheric and stratospheric trend literature. For example, the increased attention over time to radiosonde and satellite data quality has contributed to better characterization of uncertainty in observed trends both in the troposphere and in the lower stratosphere, and has highlighted the relative deficiency of attention to observations in the middle and upper stratosphere. In contrast to the relatively unchanging expectations of surface and tropospheric warming primarily induced by greenhouse gas increases, stratospheric temperature change expectations have arisen from experiments with a wider variety of model types, showing more complex trend patterns associated with a greater diversity of forcing agents. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76460
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD, United States; Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, Reading, United Kingdom; Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University and NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, United States
Recommended Citation:
Seidel D,J,, Gillett N,et al. Stratospheric temperature trends: Our evolving understanding[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(4)