DOI: 10.1002/wcc.108
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79961221510
论文题名: Forest productivity under climate change: A checklist for evaluating model studies
作者: Medlyn B ; E ; , Duursma R ; A ; , Zeppel M ; J ; B
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期: 3 起始页码: 332
结束页码: 355
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric composition
; Carbon dioxide
; Climate models
; Forestry
; Land use
; Productivity
; Climate change impact
; Evaluating models
; Forest productivity
; Interpretation of models
; Model assumptions
; Nutrient cycling
; Quality of information
; Water availability
; Climate change
英文摘要: Climate change is highly likely to impact on forest productivity over the next century. The direction and magnitude of change are uncertain because many factors are changing simultaneously, such as atmospheric composition, temperature, rainfall, and land use. Simulation models have been widely used to estimate how these interacting factors might combine to alter forest productivity. Such studies have used many different types of models with different underlying assumptions. To evaluate predictions made by such studies, it is essential to understand the type of model and the assumptions used. In this article, we provide a checklist for use when evaluating modeled estimates of climate change impacts on forest productivity. The checklist highlights the assumptions that we believe are critical in determining model outcomes. Models are classified into different general types, and assumptions relating to effects of atmospheric CO2 concentration, temperature, water availability, nutrient cycling, and disturbance are discussed. Our main aim is to provide a guide to enable correct interpretation of model projections. The article also challenges modelers to improve the quality of information provided about their model assumptions. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76463
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Biological Science, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Centre for Plants and the Environment, University of Western Sydney, Hawkesbury Campus, Richmond, NSW, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Medlyn B,E,, Duursma R,et al. Forest productivity under climate change: A checklist for evaluating model studies[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(3)