globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.116
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79961237333
论文题名:
Evaluating regional vulnerability to climate change: Purposes and methods
作者: Malone E; L; , Engle N; L
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期:3
起始页码: 462
结束页码: 474
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Decision making ; Developing countries ; Adaptation decisions ; International negotiation ; Research efforts ; Scenario analysis ; Scenario building ; Social learning ; Stakeholder involvement ; Vulnerability assessments ; Climate change
英文摘要: As the emphasis in climate change research, international negotiations, and developing-country activities has shifted from mitigation to adaptation, vulnerability has emerged as a bridge between impacts on one side and the need for adaptive changes on the other. Still, the term vulnerability remains, its meaning changing with the scale, focus, and purpose of each assessment. Understanding regional vulnerability has advanced over the past several decades, with studies using a combination of indicators, case studies and analogs, stakeholder-driven processes, and scenario-building methodologies. As regions become increasingly relevant scales of inquiry for bridging the aggregate and local, for every analysis, it is perhaps most appropriate to ask three 'what' questions: 'What/who is vulnerable?', 'What is vulnerability?', and 'Vulnerable to what?' The answers to these questions will yield different definitions of vulnerability as well as different methods for assessing it. Vulnerability research that is primarily quantitative has been dominated by the use of indicators. Regional vulnerability research can also focus on or include stakeholder involvement processes, especially helpful in generating agreement on issues and understanding context-specific aspects of vulnerability and prospective adaptations. Creating scenarios is another increasingly useful method that helps researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders think about the future and plan options for alternative futures. Current research efforts are emphasizing stakeholder involvement, with a dual focus on vulnerability assessment and social learning in the process; and scenario analyses, which may be expert-defined or stakeholder-driven. Both tend to span impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation decision making for a particular place and conditions. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76467
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, University Research Court, College Park, MD, United States

Recommended Citation:
Malone E,L,, Engle N,et al. Evaluating regional vulnerability to climate change: Purposes and methods[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(3)
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