| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.92
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-79961214182
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| 论文题名: | Predicting climate change effects on wildfires requires linking processes across scales |
| 作者: | Macias Fauria M; , Michaletz S; T; , Johnson E; A
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2011
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| 卷: | 2, 期:1 | | 起始页码: | 99
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| 结束页码: | 112
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate models
; Fires
; Forecasting
; Accurate prediction
; Climate dynamics
; Coupling process
; Fire behavior
; General circulation model
; Large-scales
; Orders of magnitude
; Process-based
; Climate change
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| 英文摘要: | Accurate process-based prediction of climate change effects on wildfires requires coupling processes across orders of magnitude of time and space scales, because climate dynamic processes operate at relatively large scales (e.g., hemispherical and centennial), but fire behavior processes operate at relatively small scales (e.g., molecules and microseconds). In this review, we outline some of the current understanding of the processes by which climate/meteorology controls wildfire behavior by focusing on four critical stages of wildfire development: (1) fuel drying, (2) ignition, (3) spread, and (4) extinction. We identify some key mechanisms that are required for predicting climate change effects on fires, as well as gaps in our understanding of the processes linking climate and fires. It is currently not possible to make accurate predictions of climate change effects on wildfires due to the limited understanding of the linkage between general circulation model outputs and the local-scale meteorology to which fire behavior processes respond. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76475
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Biogeoscience Institute, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Macias Fauria M,, Michaletz S,T,et al. Predicting climate change effects on wildfires requires linking processes across scales[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(1)
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