globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.141
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-80855130970
论文题名:
Nullifying the climate null hypothesis
作者: Curry J
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期:6
起始页码: 919
结束页码: 924
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Global warming ; Statistical tests ; Burden of proof ; Human activities ; Human influences ; Null hypothesis ; Policy debates ; Policy decisions ; Scientific Hypothesis ; Climate change
英文摘要: This essay addresses Trenberth's statement that 'Given that global warming is "unequivocal", and is "very likely" due to human activities to quote the 2007 IPCC report, the null hypothesis should now be reversed, thereby placing the burden of proof on showing that there is no human influence.' We examine how the concept of a null hypothesis is being used implicitly and explicitly in the scientific and policy debate on climate change, in the context of scientific hypothesis testing, as a framework for 'burden of proof' arguments and policy deliberations, and metaphorically in the context of a polemic. It is argued that the statement of a null hypothesis is not particularly useful in the broader context of the scientific inferences surrounding the topic of the attribution of climate change and also policy decisions. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76494
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, United States

Recommended Citation:
Curry J. Nullifying the climate null hypothesis[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(6)
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