globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.80
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79955002963
论文题名:
Tropospheric temperature trends: History of an ongoing controversy
作者: Thorne P; W; , Lanzante J; R; , Peterson T; C; , Seidel D; J; , Shine K; P
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期:1
起始页码: 66
结束页码: 88
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric temperature ; Greenhouse gases ; Troposphere ; Independent analysis ; Internal variability ; Observational study ; Systematic changes ; Temperature trends ; Tropospheric temperature ; Tropospheric warming ; Upper troposphere ; Climate models
英文摘要: Changes in atmospheric temperature have a particular importance in climate research because climate models consistently predict a distinctive vertical profile of trends. With increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, the surface and troposphere are consistently projected to warm, with an enhancement of that warming in the tropical upper troposphere. Hence, attempts to detect this distinct 'fingerprint' have been a focus for observational studies. The topic acquired heightened importance following the 1990 publication of an analysis of satellite data which challenged the reality of the projected tropospheric warming. This review documents the evolution over the last four decades of understanding of tropospheric temperature trends and their likely causes. Particular focus is given to the difficulty of producing homogenized datasets, with which to derive trends, from both radiosonde and satellite observing systems, because of the many systematic changes over time. The value of multiple independent analyses is demonstrated. Paralleling developments in observational datasets, increased computer power and improved understanding of climate forcing mechanisms have led to refined estimates of temperature trends from a wide range of climate models and a better understanding of internal variability. It is concluded that there is no reasonable evidence of a fundamental disagreement between tropospheric temperature trends from models and observations when uncertainties in both are treated comprehensively. © 2010 Crown copyright.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76498
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, United Kingdom; Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, NOAA National Climatic Data Center, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC, United States; NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Forrestal Campus, US Route 1, PO Box 308, Princeton, NJ, United States; NOAA National Climatic Data Center, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC, United States; NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, 1315 East West Highway, Silver Spring, MD, United States; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Thorne P,W,, Lanzante J,et al. Tropospheric temperature trends: History of an ongoing controversy[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(1)
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