DOI: 10.1002/wcc.90
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79961235628
论文题名: The economics of adaptation along developed coastlines
作者: Neumann J ; , Hudgens D ; , Herter J ; , Martinich J
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期: 1 起始页码: 89
结束页码: 98
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Cost estimating
; Costs
; Ecology
; Floods
; Sea level
; Shore protection
; Storms
; Beach nourishment
; Continental US
; Discounted costs
; Ecological resources
; Economic costs
; Local adaptation
; National policies
; Prior estimates
; Cost benefit analysis
英文摘要: Sea-level rise (SLR) increases the risk of permanent inundation of coastal lands and structures, while also increasing the risk of periodic damage from storms and risks to ecological resources. Prior studies have illustrated the importance of considering adaptation measures, such as armoring and beach nourishment, when estimating the economic cost of SLR, but these studies have taken the form either of careful, geographically limited case studies or national estimates based on limited samples. We present a framework for evaluating the economics of adaptation to permanent inundation from SLR that employs detailed local scale data and is spatially comprehensive, and apply the framework to estimate costs of adaptation for the full coastline of the continental US. Our results show that the economic cost of SLR is much larger than prior estimates suggest-more than $63 billion cumulative discounted cost (at 3%) for a 68 cm SLR by 2100, and $230 billion undiscounted-yet is only one-fourth the total value of low-lying property vulnerable to SLR, illustrating the importance of careful site-specific consideration of adaptation. Further, the granularity of the framework provides spatial, temporal, and response mode details useful to both national policy-makers and local adaptation planners, and can readily incorporate estimates of ecological and storm surge damages as they become available. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76503
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Industrial Economics Incorporated, Cambridge, MA, United States; Climate Science Impacts Branch, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, United States
Recommended Citation:
Neumann J,, Hudgens D,, Herter J,et al. The economics of adaptation along developed coastlines[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(1)