globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.145
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-80855147657
论文题名:
In defense of the traditional null hypothesis: Remarks on the Trenberth and Curry WIREs opinion articles
作者: Allen M
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2011
卷: 2, 期:6
起始页码: 931
结束页码: 934
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Weather information services ; Burden of proof ; Human influences ; Hypothesis tests ; Null hypothesis ; Probability of occurrence ; Weather events ; Statistical tests
英文摘要: In response to their respective opinion articles, I argue that Kevin Trenberth's proposal to reverse the burden of proof in attribution studies is misguided, but Judith Curry's counter proposal to abandon hypothesis tests as useless is worse still. Some observed weather events will have been made more likely by human influence on climate, some less likely, and it is a legitimate and very important field of scientific enquiry to work out which are which. The appropriate null hypothesis to use in such studies is that human influence has not increased the probability of occurrence of a particular weather event unless the evidence suggests otherwise. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76505
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Allen M. In defense of the traditional null hypothesis: Remarks on the Trenberth and Curry WIREs opinion articles[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2011-01-01,2(6)
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