DOI: 10.1002/wcc.14
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-78149497091
论文题名: The costs of adaptation
作者: Fankhauser S
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2010
卷: 1, 期: 1 起始页码: 23
结束页码: 30
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Cost estimating
; Costs
; Greenhouse gases
; Cost elements
; Impact of changes
; Integrated modeling
; Knowledge gaps
; One parts
; Cost benefit analysis
英文摘要: Policy interest in the cost of adaptation is growing, but compared to the mitigation literature adaptation cost research is still in its infancy. Global adaptation cost estimates from more recent studies range from around $25 billion a year to well over $100 billion by 2015-2030. The wide range is symptomatic of the poor state of knowledge. Important knowledge gaps remain both in terms of scope (whether all relevant impacts are covered) and depth (whether for a given impact all relevant adaptation options have been considered). The omissions introduce biases in both directions, upward and downward, but it is likely that adaptation costs have been underestimated so far. Adaptation is only one part of the overall response to (and therefore the costs of) climate change. The total burden of climate change consists of three elements: the costs of mitigation (reducing the extent of climate change), the costs of adaptation (reducing the impact of change), and the residual impacts that can be neither mitigated nor adapted to. The annual adaptation cost estimates reviewed here cannot be directly compared with the other two cost elements. Making this comparison would require an integrated model that takes into account the total impact of greenhouse gases over their lifetime in the atmosphere. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76513
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Grantham Research Institute, Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Fankhauser S. The costs of adaptation[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2010-01-01,1(1)