| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.6
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-77957332549
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| 论文题名: | The idea of anthropogenic global climate change in the 20th century |
| 作者: | Weart S; R
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2010
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| 卷: | 1, 期:1 | | 起始页码: | 67
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| 结束页码: | 81
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Carbon
; Carbon dioxide
; Fossil fuels
; Fuels
; Global warming
; Chemical pollution
; Environmental risks
; Exponential growth
; Fossil fuel combustion
; Global climate changes
; Human relationships
; International relations
; Small perturbations
; Climate change
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| 英文摘要: | People had long speculated thathumanactivities might affect a region's climate. But a developed conjecture that humanitymight change the climate of the entire planet first appeared in 1896: a calculation that carbon dioxide from fossil fuel combustion could gradually warm the globe. Scientists soon rejected the idea. Most people thought it incredible that climate could change globally except on a geological timescale, pushed by forces far stronger than human activity. In midcentury, a few scientists revived the hypothesis of global warming. Meanwhile, the exponential growth of human activity, especially chemical pollution and nuclear armaments, was showing that humanity really could affect the entire atmosphere. Moreover, during the 1960s research suggested that small perturbations might lead to an abrupt change in the climate system. Although nobody expected serious impacts until the distant 21st century, some began to frame global warming not just as a scientific puzzle but as an environmental risk, a security risk, a practical policy question, an international relations issue, and even a moral problem. In the late 1970s a scientific consensus began to take shape, culminating around the end of the century in unanimous agreement among government representatives on essential points, although many uncertainties remained. Meanwhile, increasing media warnings of peril made most of the literate world public aware of the issue, which had deep implications for the human relationship with nature. Skepticism persisted, correlated with aversion to regulation. The majority of the world public were now concerned, but disinclined to take action. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76543
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | American Institute of Physics, College Park, MD, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Weart S,R. The idea of anthropogenic global climate change in the 20th century[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2010-01-01,1(1)
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