globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.33
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-79951908748
论文题名:
El Niño and our future climate: Where do we stand?
作者: Vecchi G; A; , Wittenberg A; T
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2010
卷: 1, 期:2
起始页码: 260
结束页码: 270
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric pressure ; Atmospheric radiation ; Carbon dioxide ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Greenhouse gases ; Climate variation ; Continental climate ; Global climates ; Internal climate variability ; Radiative forcings ; Southern oscillation ; Substantial variations ; Tropical climates ; Climatology
英文摘要: El Niño and La Niña comprise the dominant mode of tropical climate variability: the El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. ENSO variations influence climate, ecosystems, and societies around the globe. It is, therefore, of great interest to understand the character of past and future ENSO variations. In this brief review, we explore our current understanding of these issues. The amplitude and character of ENSO have been observed to exhibit substantial variations on timescales of decades to centuries; many of these changes over the past millennium resemble those that arise from internally generated climate variations in an unforced climate model. ENSO activity and characteristics have been found to depend on the state of the tropical Pacific climate system, which is expected to change in the 21st century in response to changes in radiative forcing (including increased greenhouse gases) and internal climate variability. However, the extent and character of the response of ENSO to increased in greenhouse gases are still a topic of considerable research, and given the results published to date, we cannot yet rule out possibilities of an increase, decrease, or no change in ENSO activity arising from increases in CO2. Yet we are fairly confident that ENSO variations will continue to occur and influence global climate in the coming decades and centuries. Changes in continental climate, however, could alter the remote impacts of El Niño and La Niña. © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76561
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: NOAA, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, 08542, United States

Recommended Citation:
Vecchi G,A,, Wittenberg A,et al. El Niño and our future climate: Where do we stand?[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2010-01-01,1(2)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Vecchi G]'s Articles
[A]'s Articles
[, Wittenberg A]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Vecchi G]'s Articles
[A]'s Articles
[, Wittenberg A]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Vecchi G]‘s Articles
[A]‘s Articles
[, Wittenberg A]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.