globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84905466575
论文题名:
Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: A state-of-the-art assessment
作者: Hall J; , Arheimer B; , Borga M; , Brázdil R; , Claps P; , Kiss A; , Kjeldsen T; R; , Kriauĉuniene J; , Kundzewicz Z; W; , Lang M; , Llasat M; C; , Macdonald N; , McIntyre N; , Mediero L; , Merz B; , Merz R; , Molnar P; , Montanari A; , Neuhold C; , Parajka J; , Perdigão R; A; P; , Plavcová L; , Rogger M; , Salinas J; L; , Sauquet E; , Schär C; , Szolgay J; , Viglione A; , Blöschl G
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 10275606
出版年: 2014
卷: 18, 期:7
起始页码: 2735
结束页码: 2772
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Uncertainty analysis ; Data-sources ; Detection of changes ; Long duration ; Low-dimensional models ; Paper finish ; Research approach ; Research networks ; Short durations ; Floods ; assessment method ; data set ; flood ; flooding ; hazard management ; hydrological modeling ; nonlinearity ; research work ; Europe
英文摘要: There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.© Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/78184
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden; Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Padua, Italy; Institute of Geography, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic; Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic; Department Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI), Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy; Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom; Laboratory of Hydrology, Lithuanian Energy Institute, Kaunas, Lithuania; Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; Irstea, UR HHLY, Hydrology-Hydraulics Research Unit, Rue de la Doua, Villeurbanne Cedex, France; Department of Astronomy and Meteorology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Institute of Risk and Uncertainty, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Civil Engineering: Hydraulic and Energy, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany; Department for Catchment Hydrology, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Halle, Germany; Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland; Department of Civil Chemical, Environmental and Materials Engineering (DICAM), University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy; Federal Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Environment and Water Management Division, VII/5-Flood Control Management, Vienna, Austria; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland; Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia; Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry, Sustainable Minerals Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia; Institute for Systematic Botany and Ecology, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Hall J,, Arheimer B,, Borga M,et al. Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: A state-of-the-art assessment[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2014-01-01,18(7)
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