DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-621-2014
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84897605744
论文题名: Illustrating a new global-scale approach to estimating potential reduction in fish species richness due to flow alteration
作者: Yoshikawa S ; , Yanagawa A ; , Iwasaki Y ; , Sui P ; , Koirala S ; , Hirano K ; , Khajuria A ; , Mahendran R ; , Hirabayashi Y ; , Yoshimura C ; , Kanae S
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 10275606
出版年: 2014
卷: 18, 期: 2 起始页码: 621
结束页码: 630
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Fish species richness
; Flow charac-teristics
; Freshwater ecosystem
; Global simulation
; Hydrological simulations
; Linear relationships
; Multi-linear relationships
; Potential reduction
; Arid regions
; Climate change
; Computer simulation
; Estimation
; Statistical methods
; Stream flow
; Water
; Ecosystems
; arid region
; climate change
; estimation method
; fish
; freshwater ecosystem
; human activity
; numerical model
; river discharge
; species richness
英文摘要: Changes in river discharge due to human activities and climate change would affect the sustainability of freshwater ecosystems. To globally assess how changes in river discharge will affect the future status of freshwater ecosystems, global-scale hydrological simulations need to be connected with a model to estimate the durability of freshwater ecosystems. However, the development of this specific modelling combination for the global scale is still in its infancy. In this study, two statistical methods are introduced to link flow regimes to fish species richness (FSR): one is based on a linear relationship between FSR and mean river discharge (hereafter, FSR-MAD method), and the other is based on a multi-linear relationship between FSR and ecologically relevant flow indices involving several other flow characteristics and mean river discharge (FSR-FLVAR method). The FSR-MAD method has been used previously in global simulation studies. The FSR-FLVAR method is newly introduced here. These statistical methods for estimating FSR were combined with a set of global river discharge simulations to evaluate the potential impact of climate-change-induced flow alterations on FSR changes. Generally, future reductions in FSR with the FSR-FLVAR method are greater and much more scattered than with the FSR-MAD method. In arid regions, both methods indicate reductions in FSR because mean discharge is projected to decrease from past to future, although the magnitude of reductions in FSR is different between the two methods. In contrast, in heavy-snow regions a large reduction in FSR is shown by the FSR-FLVAR method due to increases in the frequency of low and high flows. Although further research is clearly needed to conclude which method is more appropriate, this study demonstrates that the FSR-FLVAR method could produce considerably different results when assessing the global role of flow alterations in changing freshwater ecosystems.©Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/78321
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Civil Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan; Institute of Engineering Innovation, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Yoshikawa S,, Yanagawa A,, Iwasaki Y,et al. Illustrating a new global-scale approach to estimating potential reduction in fish species richness due to flow alteration[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2014-01-01,18(2)