globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2015.04.002
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84939813100
论文题名:
Satellite mapping of Baltic Sea Secchi depth with multiple regression models
作者: Stock A
刊名: International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
ISSN: 15698432
出版年: 2015
卷: 40
起始页码: 55
结束页码: 64
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Baltic Sea ; GAM ; Mapping ; MODIS ; Regression ; Secchi depth
Scopus关键词: Aqua (satellite) ; mapping ; MODIS ; multiple regression ; numerical model ; remote sensing ; satellite data ; transparency ; Atlantic Ocean ; Baltic Sea
英文摘要: Secchi depth is a measure of water transparency. In the Baltic Sea region, Secchi depth maps are used to assess eutrophication and as input for habitat models. Due to their spatial and temporal coverage, satellite data would be the most suitable data source for such maps. But the Baltic Sea's optical properties are so different from the open ocean that globally calibrated standard models suffer from large errors. Regional predictive models that take the Baltic Sea's special optical properties into account are thus needed. This paper tests how accurately generalized linear models (GLMs) and generalized additive models (GAMs) with MODIS/Aqua and auxiliary data as inputs can predict Secchi depth at a regional scale. It uses cross-validation to test the prediction accuracy of hundreds of GAMs and GLMs with up to 5 input variables. A GAM with 3 input variables (chlorophyll a, remote sensing reflectance at 678 nm, and long-term mean salinity) made the most accurate predictions. Tested against field observations not used for model selection and calibration, the best model's mean absolute error (MAE) for daily predictions was 1.07m (22%), more than 50% lower than for other publicly available Baltic Sea Secchi depth maps. The MAE for predicting monthly averages was 0.86m(15%). Thus, the proposed model selection process was able to find a regional model with good prediction accuracy. It could be useful to find predictive models for environmental variables other than Secchi depth, using data from other satellite sensors, and for other regions where non-standard remote sensing models are needed for prediction and mapping. Annual and monthly mean Secchi depth maps for 2003-2012 come with this paper as Supplementary materials. © 2015 Elsevier B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/79588
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources, Stanford University, 473 Via Ortega, Stanford, CA, United States

Recommended Citation:
Stock A. Satellite mapping of Baltic Sea Secchi depth with multiple regression models[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2015-01-01,40
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