DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2017.10.003
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85036586131
论文题名: Local modelling of land consumption in Germany with RegioClust
作者: Hagenauer J ; , Helbich M
刊名: International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
ISSN: 15698432
出版年: 2018
卷: 65 起始页码: 46
结束页码: 56
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Drivers
; Germany
; Land use
; Regression
; Spatial clustering
; Spatial heterogeneity
Scopus关键词: algorithm
; cluster analysis
; heterogeneity
; land use
; modeling
; regression analysis
; Germany
英文摘要: Germany is experiencing extensive land consumption. This necessitates local models to understand actual and future land consumption patterns. This research examined land consumption rates on a municipality level in Germany for the period 2000–10 and predicted rates for 2010–20. For this purpose, RegioClust, an algorithm that combines hierarchical clustering and regression analysis to identify regions with similar relationships between land consumption and its drivers, was developed. The performance of RegioClust was compared against geographically weighted regression (GWR). Distinct spatially varying relationships across regions emerged, whereas population density is suggested as the central driver. Although both RegioClust and GWR predicted an increase in land consumption rates for east Germany for 2010–20, only RegioClust forecasts a decline for west Germany. In conclusion, both models predict for 2010–20 a rate of land consumption that suggests that the policy objective of reducing land consumption to 30 ha per day in 2020 will not be achieved. Policymakers are advised to take action and revise existing planning strategies to counteract this development. © 2017 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/79878
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Leibniz Institute of Ecological Urban and Regional Development, Weberplatz 1, Dresden, Germany; Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, Utrecht, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Hagenauer J,, Helbich M. Local modelling of land consumption in Germany with RegioClust[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2018-01-01,65