| DOI: | 10.1080/14693062.2016.1268088
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-85006930902
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| 论文题名: | When does economic development promote mitigation and why? |
| 作者: | Clulow Z
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| 刊名: | Climate Policy
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| ISSN: | 1469-3062
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| EISSN: | 1752-7457
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| 出版年: | 2018
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| 卷: | 18, 期:2 | | 起始页码: | 221
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| 结束页码: | 234
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | carbon trajectories
; emissions and economic development
; environmental Kuznets curve
; Mitigation
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| Scopus关键词: | carbon emission
; economic development
; economic growth
; emission control
; environmental policy
; Kuznets curve
; Kyoto Protocol
; mitigation
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| Scopus学科分类: | nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
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| 英文摘要: | Is economic development compatible with mitigation? On the one hand, development should promote effective climate policy by enhancing states’ capacities for mitigation. On the other hand, economic growth creates more demand for production, thereby inhibiting emissions reduction. These arguments are often reconciled in the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) thesis. According to this approach, development initially increases emissions in poor economies, but begins to lower emissions after a country has attained a certain level of development. The aim of this article is to determine empirically whether the EKC hypothesis seems plausible in light of emissions trends over the birth and implementation of the Kyoto Protocol. Drawing on data from the World Bank World Development Indicators and World Resources Institute Climate Data Explorer, it conducts a large-N investigation of the emissions behaviour of 120 countries from 1990 to 2012. While several quantitative studies have found that economic factors influence emissions activity, this article goes beyond existing research by employing a more sophisticated–multilevel–research design to determine whether economic development: (a) continues to be a significant driver once country-level clustering is accounted for and (b) has different effects on different countries. The results of this article indicate that, even after we account for country-level clustering and hold constant the other main putative drivers of emissions activity, economic development tends to inhibit emissions reduction. They also provide strong evidence that emissions trends resemble the EKC, with development significantly constraining emissions reduction in the South and promoting it in the North. POLICY RELEVANCE This article contributes to the understanding of the (changing) role of economic development in shaping emissions activity. It demonstrates the need for a contextualized, country-specific approach for evaluating the effectiveness of economic development in promoting emissions reduction and uncovers new evidence in support of the EKC hypothesis. © 2016 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80196
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: | School of Politics and International Relations, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Clulow Z. When does economic development promote mitigation and why?[J]. Climate Policy,2018-01-01,18(2)
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