DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2016.1227952
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84994275858
论文题名: Defining deep decarbonization pathways for Switzerland: an economic evaluation
作者: Babonneau F ; , Thalmann P ; , Vielle M
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2018
卷: 18, 期: 1 起始页码: 1
结束页码: 13
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Carbon capture and storage (CCS)
; climate policy
; computable general equilibrium model
; decarbonization
; energy policy
; Switzerland
Scopus关键词: carbon dioxide
; carbon emission
; carbon sequestration
; computable general equilibrium analysis
; emission control
; energy policy
; environmental policy
; Switzerland
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: This article simulates deep decarbonization pathways for a small open economy that lacks the usual avenues for large CO2 reductions–heavy industry and power generation. A computable general equilibrium model is used to assess the energy and economic impacts of the transition to only one ton of CO2 emissions per capita in 2050. This represents a 76% reduction with respect to 1990 levels, while the population is expected to be 46% larger and GPD to increase by 90%. The article discusses several options and scenarios that are compatible with this emissions target and compares them with a reference scenario that extrapolates already-decided climate and energy policy instruments. We show that the ambitious target is attainable at moderate welfare costs, even if it needs very high carbon prices, and that these costs are lower when either CO2 can be captured and sequestered or electricity consumption can be taxed sufficiently to stabilize it. Policy relevance In the context of COP 21, all countries must propose intended contributions that involve deep decarbonization of their economy over the next decades. This article defines and analyses such pathways for Switzerland, taking into consideration the existing energy demand and supply and also already-defined climate policies. It draws several scenarios that are compatible with a target of 1 ton of CO2 emissions per capita in 2050. This objective is very challenging, especially with the nuclear phase out decided after the disaster in Fukushima and the political decision to balance electricity trade. Nevertheless, it is possible to design several feasible pathways that are based on different options. The economic cost is significant but affordable for the Swiss economy. The insights are relevant not only for Switzerland, but also for other industrialized countries when defining their INDCs. © 2016 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80212
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: LEURE, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, EPFL–LEURE, Lausanne, Switzerland; ORDECSYS, Chêne-Bougeries, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Babonneau F,, Thalmann P,, Vielle M. Defining deep decarbonization pathways for Switzerland: an economic evaluation[J]. Climate Policy,2018-01-01,18(1)