| DOI: | 10.1080/14693062.2017.1404439
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-85038359416
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| 论文题名: | Telling stories with models and making policy with stories: an exploration |
| 作者: | Beck M
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| 刊名: | Climate Policy
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| ISSN: | 1469-3062
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| EISSN: | 1752-7457
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| 出版年: | 2017
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| 起始页码: | 1
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| 结束页码: | 14
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | climate change governance
; Integrated assessment models
; modelled stories
; Narrative Policy Analysis
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| Scopus学科分类: | nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
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| 英文摘要: | Narrative research is in vogue in the social sciences. A current debate in philosophy of economics concerns the role of storytelling in economic modelling, and a growing research programme in policy studies investigates the influence of stories on policy outcomes. These two streams of research have yet to be connected in an investigation of how scientific models, in addition to delivering numerical results, also shape policy through the stories that are told with them. This article addresses that gap, arguing that stories produced with integrated assessment models of global climate change are particular types of policy narratives. An analytical framework for studying their composition and content is suggested. The narrative analysis of modelled stories illuminates some of the models' underpinning values and beliefs. These values and beliefs influence the normative, policy-relevant conclusions generated with the models. For illustration, the framework is applied to the analysis of two variations of the Dynamic Integrated Climate Economy model that are used to tell different stories about climate justice and climate policy.Key policy insightsIAMs consist of mathematical structures and the stories told by manipulating these structures.There is an intricate but not fully deterministic relationship between IAM structures and stories.Examining both these elements contributes to our understanding of the models' role in climate governance.Appreciation of modelled stories may facilitate more effective use of IAMs in the policy process. © 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80225
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: | Institute for Science, Society and Policy, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Beck M. Telling stories with models and making policy with stories: an exploration[J]. Climate Policy,2017-01-01
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