DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2016.1218320
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84994157874
论文题名: The Paris Agreement: resolving the inconsistency between global goals and national contributions
作者: Höhne N ; , Kuramochi T ; , Warnecke C ; , Röser F ; , Fekete H ; , Hagemann M ; , Day T ; , Tewari R ; , Kurdziel M ; , Sterl S ; , Gonzales S
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2017
卷: 17, 期: 1 起始页码: 16
结束页码: 32
语种: 英语
英文关键词: ambition
; ambition
; climate change
; INDCs
; mitigation
; Paris Agreement
; UNFCCC
Scopus关键词: climate change
; environmental policy
; international agreement
; mitigation
; policy implementation
; policy making
; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: The adoption of the Paris Agreement in December 2015 moved the world a step closer to avoiding dangerous climate change. The aggregated individual intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) are not yet sufficient to be consistent with the long-term goals of the agreement of ‘holding the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C’ and ‘pursuing efforts’ towards 1.5°C. However, the Paris Agreement gives hope that this inconsistency can be resolved. We find that many of the contributions are conservative and in some cases may be overachieved. We also find that the preparation of the INDCs has advanced national climate policy-making, notably in developing countries. Moreover, provisions in the Paris Agreement require countries to regularly review, update and strengthen these actions. In addition, the significant number of non-state actions launched in recent years is not yet adequately captured in the INDCs. Finally, we discuss decarbonization, which has happened faster in some sectors than expected, giving hope that such a transition can also be accomplished in other sectors. Taken together, there is reason to be optimistic that eventually national action to reduce emissions will be more consistent with the agreed global temperature limits. Policy relevance The next step for the global response to climate change is not only implementation, but also strengthening, of the Paris Agreement. To this end, national governments must formulate and implement policies to meet their INDC pledges, and at the same time consider how to raise their level of ambition. For many developing countries, implementation and tougher targets will require financial, technological and other forms of support. The findings of this article are highly relevant for both national governments and support organizations in helping them to set their implementation priorities. Its findings also put existing INDCs in the context of the Paris Agreement's global goals, indicating the extent to which current national commitments need to be strengthened, and possible ways in which this could be done. © 2016 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80318
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: NewClimate Institute, Am Hof 20-26, Cologne, Germany; Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, Wageningen, Netherlands; Faculteit Geowetenschappen, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, Utrecht, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Höhne N,, Kuramochi T,, Warnecke C,et al. The Paris Agreement: resolving the inconsistency between global goals and national contributions[J]. Climate Policy,2017-01-01,17(1)