DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2013.835655
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84891002061
论文题名: Costs of reducing GHG emissions in Brazil
作者: Gurgel A ; C ; , Paltsev S
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2014
卷: 14, 期: 2 起始页码: 209
结束页码: 223
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Brazil
; climate policies
; deforestation
; general equilibrium
Scopus关键词: agricultural production
; cost-benefit analysis
; crop yield
; deforestation
; economic impact
; emission control
; energy use
; governance approach
; greenhouse gas
; pollution tax
; targeting
; Brazil
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: During the 2009 Conference of the Parties meeting in Copenhagen, the Brazilian government announced voluntary targets to reduce GHG emissions, with the targets being reconfirmed in Cancun (2010) and in Durban (2011). An estimate is presented of the economic impact of alternative policies to achieve such targets, including actions to cut emissions from deforestation and agricultural production. A dynamic-recursive general equilibrium model of the world economy is used. The main results show that deforestation emissions in Brazil can be reduced at very low costs, but the cost of cutting emissions from agriculture and energy use may lead to a 2.3% drop in gross domestic product by 2020 if sector-specific carbon taxes are applied. Such costs may be reduced to 1.5% under a carbon trading scheme. The negative impact of carbon taxes on agricultural production indirectly reduces deforestation rates; therefore, directly cutting emissions from deforestation is the most cost-effective option since it does not adversely affect agricultural production, which continues to expand into low-yield, underutilized pastures and secondary forest areas. © 2013 © 2013 Taylor & Francis. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80487
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: Sao Paulo School of Economics, Fundacao Getulio Vargas, Rua Itapeva 474 60 Andar, Sao Paulo 01332-000, Brazil; Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E19-429F, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
Recommended Citation:
Gurgel A,C,, Paltsev S. Costs of reducing GHG emissions in Brazil[J]. Climate Policy,2014-01-01,14(2)