globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.02.015
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84897602321
论文题名:
Application of air quality combination forecasting to Bogota
作者: Westerlund J; , Urbain J; -P; , Bonilla J
刊名: Atmospheric Environment
ISSN: 0168-2563
EISSN: 1573-515X
出版年: 2014
卷: 89
起始页码: 22
结束页码: 28
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Air quality forecasting ; Bogota ; Forecast combination ; Neural networks
Scopus关键词: Air quality forecasting ; Bogota ; Combination approaches ; Combination forecasting ; Forecast combinations ; Latin America ; Regression function ; Statistical forecasting ; Air quality ; Linear regression ; Monte Carlo methods ; Neural networks ; Forecasting ; carbon monoxide ; nitrate ; nitrite ; oxygen ; air quality ; Monte Carlo analysis ; sampling ; simulation ; statistical analysis ; urban area ; weather forecasting ; air pollution ; air quality ; article ; forecasting ; Monte Carlo method ; particulate matter ; priority journal ; South and Central America ; Latin America
Scopus学科分类: Environmental Science: Water Science and Technology ; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Earth-Surface Processes ; Environmental Science: Environmental Chemistry
英文摘要: The bulk of existing work on the statistical forecasting of air quality is based on either neural networks or linear regressions, which are both subject to important drawbacks. In particular, while neural networks are complicated and prone to in-sample overfitting, linear regressions are highly dependent on the specification of the regression function. The present paper shows how combining linear regression forecasts can be used to circumvent all of these problems. The usefulness of the proposed combination approach is verified using both Monte Carlo simulation and an extensive application to air quality in Bogota, one of the largest and most polluted cities in Latin America. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80668
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Melbourne Burwood Campus, 221 Burwood Highway, VIC 3125, Australia; Maastricht University, Netherlands; University of Gothenburg, Sweden; Universidad de los Andes, Colombia

Recommended Citation:
Westerlund J,, Urbain J,-P,et al. Application of air quality combination forecasting to Bogota[J]. Atmospheric Environment,2014-01-01,89
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