DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.07.024
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84904384372
论文题名: Risk assessment of mortality for all-cause, ischemic heart disease, cardiopulmonary disease, and lung cancer due to the operation of the world's largest coal-fired power plant
作者: Kuo P ; -H ; , Tsuang B ; -J ; , Chen C ; -J ; , Hu S ; -W ; , Chiang C ; -J ; , Tsai J ; -L ; , Tang M ; -L ; , Chen G ; -J ; , Ku K ; -C
刊名: Atmospheric Environment
ISSN: 0168-2563
EISSN: 1573-515X
出版年: 2014
卷: 96 起始页码: 117
结束页码: 124
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Life expectancy
; Mortality
; Power plant
; Risk assessment
Scopus关键词: Coal
; Coal fueled furnaces
; Diseases
; Fossil fuel power plants
; Fuel systems
; Health
; Natural gas
; Power plants
; Risk assessment
; Risk perception
; Cardiopulmonary disease
; Coal-fired power plant
; Electrical capacity
; Fossil-fueled power plants
; Health-related problems
; Ischemic heart disease
; Life expectancies
; Mortality
; Health risks
; coal
; natural gas
; cancer
; cardiovascular disease
; coal-fired power plant
; health risk
; life expectancy
; mortality
; particle size
; particulate matter
; public health
; risk assessment
; air pollutant
; air pollution control
; article
; cancer mortality
; cancer risk
; cardiovascular mortality
; cardiovascular risk
; controlled study
; desulfurization
; electric power plant
; female
; human
; ischemic heart disease
; lung cancer
; major clinical study
; male
; mortality
; plume
; priority journal
; risk assessment
; risk factor
; Taiwan
; Taichung
; Taiwan
Scopus学科分类: Environmental Science: Water Science and Technology
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Earth-Surface Processes
; Environmental Science: Environmental Chemistry
英文摘要: Based on recent understanding of PM2.5 health-related problems from fossil-fueled power plants emission inventories collected in Taiwan, we have determined the loss of life expectancy (LLE) and the lifetime (75-year) risks for PM2.5 health-related mortalities as attributed to the operation of the world's largest coal-fired power plant; the Taichung Power Plant (TCP), with an installed nominal electrical capacity of 5780MW in 2013. Five plausible scenarios (combinations of emission controls, fuel switch, and relocation) and two risk factors were considered. It is estimated that the lifetime (75-y) risk for all-cause mortality was 0.3%-0.6% for males and 0.2%-0.4% for females, and LLE at 84 days in 1997 for the 23 million residents of Taiwan. The risk has been reduced to one-fourth at 0.05%-0.10% for males and 0.03%-0.06% for females, and LLE at 15 days in 2007, which was mainly attributed to the installation of desulfurization and de-NOx equipment. Moreover, additional improvements can be expected if we can relocate the power plant to a downwind site on Taiwan, and convert the fuel source from coal to natural gas. The risk can be significantly reduced further to one-fiftieth at 0.001%-0.002% for males and 0.001% for females, and LLE at 0.3 days. Nonetheless, it is still an order higher than the commonly accepted elevated-cancer risk at 0.0001% (10-6), indicating that the PM2.5 health-related risk for operating such a world-class power plant is not negligible. In addition, this study finds that a better-chosen site (involving moving the plant to the leeward side of Taiwan) can reduce the risk significantly as opposed to solely transitioning the fuel source to natural gas. Note that the fuel cost of using natural gas (0.11USD/kWh in 2013) in Taiwan is about twice the price of using coal fuel (0.05USD/kWh in 2013). © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/81162
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Dept. of Environmental Engineering, National Chung-Hsing University, Taiwan; Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taiwan; Institute of Oral Sciences, Chung Shan Medical University, Taiwan; Taiwan Cancer Registry and Graduate Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taiwan
Recommended Citation:
Kuo P,-H,, Tsuang B,et al. Risk assessment of mortality for all-cause, ischemic heart disease, cardiopulmonary disease, and lung cancer due to the operation of the world's largest coal-fired power plant[J]. Atmospheric Environment,2014-01-01,96