DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2051-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85027839992
论文题名: The road to achieving the long-term Paris targets: energy transition and the role of direct air capture
作者: Marcucci A. ; Kypreos S. ; Panos E.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 144, 期: 2 起始页码: 181
结束页码: 193
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon capture
; Cost reduction
; Costs
; Energy policy
; Energy utilization
; Gas emissions
; Global warming
; Temperature
; Economic consequences
; Energy transitions
; Global temperatures
; Integrated assessment models
; Low-carbon technologies
; Market penetration
; Mitigation costs
; Temperature limits
; Greenhouse gases
; carbon emission
; economic analysis
; emission control
; energy conservation
; energy market
; fuel consumption
; global warming
; greenhouse gas
; international agreement
; mitigation
; scenario analysis
英文摘要: In this paper, we quantify the energy transition and economic consequences of the long-term targets from the Paris agreement, with a particular focus on the targets of limiting global warming by the end of the century to 2 and 1.5 °C. The study assumes early actions and quantifies the market penetration of low carbon technologies, the emission pathways and the economic costs for an efficient reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions such that the temperature limit is not exceeded. We evaluate the potential role of direct air capture (DAC) and its impact on policy costs and energy consumption. DAC is a technology that removes emissions directly from the atmosphere contributing to negative carbon emissions. We find that, with our modelling assumptions, limiting global temperature to 1.5 °C is only possible when using DAC. Our results show that the DAC technology can play an important role in realising deep decarbonisation goals and in the reduction of regional and global mitigation costs with stringent targets. DAC acts a substitute to Bio-Energy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) in the stringent scenarios. For this analysis, we use the model MERGE-ETL, a technology-rich integrated assessment model with endogenous learning. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83918
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: ETH Zurich, Center of Economic Research, Zurich, Switzerland; Paul Scherrer Institute, Energy Economics Group, Villigen, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Marcucci A.,Kypreos S.,Panos E.. The road to achieving the long-term Paris targets: energy transition and the role of direct air capture[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,144(2)