| DOI: | 10.1007/s10584-017-1992-2
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-85019768710
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| 论文题名: | Climate change threats to one of the world’s largest cross-country skiing races |
| 作者: | Falk M.; Hagsten E.
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| 刊名: | Climatic Change
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| ISSN: | 0165-0009
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| EISSN: | 1573-1480
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| 出版年: | 2017
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| 卷: | 143, 期:2018-01-02 | | 起始页码: | 59
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| 结束页码: | 71
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Digital storage
; Snow
; Climate variability
; Dependent variables
; Local weather conditions
; Logit modeling
; Natural snows
; Percentage points
; Snow depths
; Snow storage
; Climate change
; climate change
; environmental impact
; recreational activity
; snow cover
; Dalarna
; Sweden
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| 英文摘要: | This study investigates the relationship between climate variability and the participant cancellation ratio at one of the world’s oldest, longest and largest cross-country skiing races, the Vasaloppet. This race is held in the Swedish region of Dalarna on the first Sunday of March each year. Data are based on the number of registered and starting skiers and local weather conditions (natural snow supply and temperature) for the period 1951–2016. As the dependent variable is bounded between zero and one, the fractional logit model is employed. Estimations show that a lack of natural snow significantly increases the cancellation ratio. In particular, a decline in snow depth from the average level of 57 to 30 cm over the sample period leads to an increase of 3.3 percentage points in the cancellation ratio. Interestingly, the dependence on natural snow has declined in absolute terms in recent years due to various adaptation practices, such as snow storage and snow production. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83974
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: | University of Iceland School of Social Sciences, Reykjavík, Iceland
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Falk M.,Hagsten E.. Climate change threats to one of the world’s largest cross-country skiing races[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,143(2018-01-02)
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