DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1990-4
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85019928042
论文题名: Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa
作者: Nyamwanza A.M. ; New M.G. ; Fujisawa M. ; Johnston P. ; Hajat A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 143, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 115
结束页码: 128
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Agriculture
; Decision making
; Investments
; Climate change projections
; Climate information
; Decadal predictions
; Decadal timescale
; Farming system
; Investment decision making
; Projected dynamics
; Seasonal forecasts
; Climate change
; climate change
; decadal variation
; decision making
; farming system
; innovation
; investment
; seasonal variation
; timescale
; South Africa
英文摘要: Whilst there has been much focus on the utility of climate information on the seasonal timescale and several decades into the future vis-à-vis decision-making and responses to climate and related risks in Africa, less attention has been given to information on the decadal timescale. Yet much policy, planning and investment decision-making within African agricultural and food systems take place within this timescale. Decadal prediction research itself has become a hot topic, and it is against this background that we explore the questions, ‘what climate information could be utilised by farmers within this timescale and of what value will it be?’ Using case studies of both small and large-scale farming systems in east and southern Africa, we show decadal climate information potentially providing opportunities for flexible, proactive and innovative decision-making in response to projected dynamics within this period, ultimately bridging the current gap not covered by seasonal forecasts and climate change projections. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83986
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Economic Performance and Development Programme, Human Sciences Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa; African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, Italy; Climate Systems Analysis Group, Department of Environmental and Geographical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; C12 Consultants, Lilongwe, Malawi
Recommended Citation:
Nyamwanza A.M.,New M.G.,Fujisawa M.,et al. Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,143(2018-01-02)