DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1941-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85015866439
论文题名: Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa
作者: Jun T.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 142, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 183
结束页码: 197
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Food supply
; Climate science
; Climate warming
; Effects of temperature
; High temperature
; Maize growing season
; Maize yield
; Political science
; Sub-saharan africa
; Temperature
; civil war
; climate change
; crop yield
; food supply
; growing season
; high temperature
; maize
; social conflict
; warming
; Sub-Saharan Africa
; Zea mays
英文摘要: Civil conflicts have swept through many parts of sub-Saharan Africa in the past half century. Recently, scholars from backgrounds as diver as climate science, economics, political science, and anthropology have explored the effects of climate change on these civil conflicts, with mixed results. Our empirical results confirm effects of temperature on the incidence of civil conflict. The key findings are as follows: (i) between 1970 and 2012 in sub-Saharan Africa, a high temperature during maize growing season reduced the crop’s yield, which in turn increased the incidence of civil conflict and (ii) future expected warming is expected to increase civil conflict incidence by 33% in the period 2031–2050, and by 100% in the period 2081–3010, compared to levels between 1981 and 2000. These results highlight the importance of sufficient food supplies and adaptation to increased climate warming to facilitate peace in sub-Saharan Africa. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83999
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Economics, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea
Recommended Citation:
Jun T.. Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,142(2018-01-02)