DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1922-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85013664041
论文题名: Sensitivity analysis of climate change impacts on dune erosion: case study for the Dutch Holland coast
作者: de Winter R.C. ; Ruessink B.G.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 141, 期: 4 起始页码: 685
结束页码: 701
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Dune erosion
; Sea level rise
; The Netherlands
; XBeach
Scopus关键词: Boundary conditions
; Erosion
; Fluid dynamics
; Sea level
; Sensitivity analysis
; Storms
; Climate change impact
; Dune erosion
; Hydrodynamic boundary conditions
; Mitigation options
; Netherlands
; Process-based modeling
; Sea level rise
; XBeach
; Climate change
; boundary condition
; climate change
; climate effect
; dune
; erosion
; hydrodynamics
; linearity
; model test
; sea level change
; sensitivity analysis
; storm surge
; storm track
; Netherlands
英文摘要: Climate change could have large implications for the management of dune-fringed coasts. Sea level rise and changes in storm wave and surge characteristics could lead to enhanced dune erosion and hence a decrease in safety levels. Here, we use the process-based model XBeach to quantify the impact of sea level rise and changing hydrodynamic boundary conditions on the magnitude of future dune erosion at two locations along the Dutch coast. We find a linear relation between sea level rise and dune erosion volume, the exact linear relation being dependent on the local hydrodynamical boundary conditions. The process driving higher erosion appears to be sea level rise, allowing waves to attack the dune at a higher level. Additional simulations illustrate that a change in the offshore wave angle, potentially produced by changes in storm tracks, could influence the erosion volume with the same order of magnitude as sea level rise. Finally, simulations with different mitigation options (i.e., sand nourishments) illustrate the strong effect of the location of the added sand to the reduction in the dune erosion volume. © 2017, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84052
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80.115, Utrecht, TC, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
de Winter R.C.,Ruessink B.G.. Sensitivity analysis of climate change impacts on dune erosion: case study for the Dutch Holland coast[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,141(4)