globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1843-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84992744173
论文题名:
Analysis of multi-dimensional hydrological alterations under climate change for four major river basins in different climate zones
作者: Wang X.; Yang T.; Wortmann M.; Shi P.; Hattermann F.; Lobanova A.; Aich V.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 141, 期:3
起始页码: 483
结束页码: 498
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models ; Rivers ; Water management ; Water resources ; Watersheds ; Comprehensive analysis ; Dimensionality reduction ; Eco-environmental system ; General circulation model ; Hydrological alterations ; Hydrological models ; Upper yellow rivers ; Waterresource management ; Climate change ; climate change ; climatic region ; error correction ; general circulation model ; human activity ; hydrological change ; hydrological regime ; river basin ; river discharge ; river flow ; Amazon River ; China ; Lena River ; Russian Federation ; Tagus River ; Yellow River
英文摘要: Changes in river discharge regimes are regarded as the primary drivers of change of many in-stream ecological processes. While a lot of assessments addressing the hydrological alteration caused by human activities have been conducted for many river basins worldwide, a comprehensive analysis of hydrological alteration over major river basins worldwide under climate change is still limited to date. This study aims to address multi-dimensional hydrological alterations (alterations of multiple river flow characteristics) under climate change for four major rivers on three continents, by means of a consolidated framework consisting of two hydrological models, bias-corrected scenarios from five general circulation models (GCMs), and three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios. The multi-dimensional hydrological alterations are quantified via the general Indicators of Hydrological Alteration approach (IHA) and two modified IHA methods based on dimensionality reduction. The reliability and advantages for the modified IHA methods are also analyzed. The results show that: (1) A modified IHA method (“NR-IHA method”) where the selected non-redundant IHA indices are basin specific is a valid alternative to the conventional IHA method for evaluating flow regime alteration, in consideration that high agreements in the simulated overall flow regimes alteration degree between it and the conventional IHA method are found during historical and future scenario periods, over four basins (the Upper Yellow River, the Lena River, the Tagus River and the Upper Amazon River). (2) Climate change is expected to remarkably alter overall flow regimes in the Tagus River and Upper Yellow River, especially at the end of the 21st century and under high RCP scenarios, whereas the dominant alteration extent tends to be low in the Lena River and Upper Amazon River in the two future periods. (3) The modified IHA method, preventing double-counting some aspects of the flow regime when assessing alteration degree of overall flow regimes, can save 65 % computation time and is more efficient than the conventional IHA method. It could be beneficial to figure out adaptive countermeasures for water resource management and restoration of eco-environmental systems under climate change. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84055
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Center for Global Change and Water Cycle, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China; Research Domain II: Climate Impacts and Vulnerabilities, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 601203, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Wang X.,Yang T.,Wortmann M.,et al. Analysis of multi-dimensional hydrological alterations under climate change for four major river basins in different climate zones[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,141(3)
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