DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1838-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84992708842
论文题名: Cooperation studies of catastrophe avoidance: implications for climate negotiations
作者: Hurlstone M.J. ; Wang S. ; Price A. ; Leviston Z. ; Walker I.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 140, 期: 2 起始页码: 119
结束页码: 133
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Climate negotiations
; Collective-risk social dilemma
; Cooperation
; Global public good
Scopus关键词: Disaster prevention
; Disasters
; Risk management
; Climate negotiations
; Cooperation
; Dangerous climate changes
; Experimental assessment
; Global climate changes
; Global public goods
; Global-mean temperature
; Social dilemmas
; Climate change
; catastrophic event
; climate prediction
; disaster management
; environmental policy
; global perspective
; international agreement
; international cooperation
; literature review
; risk assessment
英文摘要: The landmark agreement recently negotiated in Paris represents an ambitious plan to combat climate change. Nevertheless, countries’ current climate pledges are insufficient to achieve the agreement’s goal of keeping global mean temperature rise “well below” 2 ∘C. It is apparent that climate negotiators need to be equipped with additional strategies for fostering cooperation if a climate catastrophe is to be averted. We review the results arising from an emerging literature in which the problem of avoiding dangerous climate change has been simulated using cooperation experiments in which individuals play a game requiring collective action to avert a catastrophe. This literature has uncovered five key variables that influence the likelihood of avoiding disaster: (1) the perceived risk of collective failure, (2) inequalities in historical responsibility, wealth, and risk exposure, (3) uncertainty surrounding the threshold for catastrophe, (4) intergenerational discounting, and (5) the prospect of reward or punishment based on reputation. Along with the results of a recent experimental assessment of the key instruments of the Paris Agreement, we consider how knowledge of the effects of these variables might be harnessed by climate negotiators to improve the prospects of reaching a solution to global climate change. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84130
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: School of Psychology, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Queensland, Australia; University of Canberra, ACT, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Hurlstone M.J.,Wang S.,Price A.,et al. Cooperation studies of catastrophe avoidance: implications for climate negotiations[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,140(2)