globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1811-1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84990966457
论文题名:
Natural hazards in Australia: extreme bushfire
作者: Sharples J.J.; Cary G.J.; Fox-Hughes P.; Mooney S.; Evans J.P.; Fletcher M.-S.; Fromm M.; Grierson P.F.; McRae R.; Baker P.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 139, 期:1
起始页码: 85
结束页码: 99
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Hazards ; Climate change projections ; Comprehensive assessment ; Devastating effects ; Ecological dynamics ; Emerging patterns ; Environmental damage ; Historical changes ; Historical information ; Environmental impact ; anthropogenic effect ; bushfire ; climate change ; damage ; economic impact ; environmental impact assessment ; extreme event ; historical perspective ; landscape change ; natural hazard ; nature-society relations ; Australia
英文摘要: Bushfires are one of the most frequent natural hazards experienced in Australia. Fires play an important role in shaping the landscape and its ecological dynamics, but may also have devastating effects that cause human injuries and fatalities, as well as broad-scale environmental damage. While there has been considerable effort to quantify changes in the occurrence of bushfire in Australia, a comprehensive assessment of the most extreme bushfire cases, which exact the greatest economic and environmental impacts, is lacking. In this paper we reflect upon recently developed understanding of bushfire dynamics to consider (i) historical changes in the occurrence of extreme bushfires, and (ii) the potential for increasing frequency in the future under climate change projections. The science of extreme bushfires is still a developing area, thus our conclusions about emerging patterns in their occurrence should be considered tentative. Nonetheless, historical information on noteworthy bushfire events suggests an increased occurrence in recent decades. Based on our best current understanding of how extreme bushfires develop, there is strong potential for them to increase in frequency in the future. As such there is a pressing need for a greater understanding of these powerful and often destructive phenomena. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84175
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: School of Physical, Environmental and Mathematical Sciences, University of New South Wales, Canberra, ACT, Australia; Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Acton, ACT, Australia; Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart, TAS, Australia; School of Biological Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Centre for Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; School of Geography, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, United States; Ecosystems Research Group, School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia; Australian Capital Territory Emergency Services Agency, Canberra, Australia; School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, Richmond, VIC, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Sharples J.J.,Cary G.J.,Fox-Hughes P.,et al. Natural hazards in Australia: extreme bushfire[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,139(1)
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