DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1763-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84981272208
论文题名: Recent seasonal and long-term changes in southern Australian frost occurrence
作者: Crimp S.J. ; Gobbett D. ; Kokic P. ; Nidumolu U. ; Howden M. ; Nicholls N.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 139, 期: 1 起始页码: 115
结束页码: 128
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Climate models
; Climate observations
; International researches
; Minimum temperatures
; Scientific information
; South-eastern Australia
; Spatiotemporal patterns
; Surface air temperatures
; Temperature changes
; Complex networks
; climate change
; data set
; frost
; long-term change
; seasonal variation
; spatiotemporal analysis
; temperature effect
; trend analysis
; warming
; Australia
; New South Wales
; Victoria [Australia]
英文摘要: As part of part of a special issue on natural hazards, this paper explores recent changes in Australian minimum temperature extremes. Using minimum temperature data from the 112 observation locations making up the Australian Climate Observations Reference Network – Surface Air Temperature (ACORN-SAT) data set, as well as the Scientific Information for Land Owners (SILO) minimum temperature gridded data surface, we analyse and map trends in extreme minimum temperature indices across southern Australia at seasonal, annual and multi-decadal timeframes since 1960. Our analyses highlights that across southern Australia, despite a warming trend of 0.17 °C per decade since 1960 in the mean annual minimum temperature, there exist regions of localised cooling as well as a much broader spatially-coherent pattern of increasing “frost season” length. Our analysis identifies that the “frost season length” has, across the whole southern portion of Australia, increased on average by 26 days (at 2014) compared with the 1960 to 1990 long term mean. Some areas of south eastern Australia now experience their last frost an average four weeks later than in the 1960s (i.e. mean date of last frost for the period 1960 to 1970 was 19 September versus 23 October for the period 2000 to 2014). Over isolated portions of southern Australia (i.e. northern Victoria and southern New South Wales), the annual frequency of frost events occurring after August has increased by as much as 4 events per year over the last decade, with localised increases in the occurrence of consecutive frost days also observed. This analysis builds upon earlier more localised trend analyses work by these authors (Crimp et al. 2015), as well as a growing body of international research, highlighting a complex spatio-temporal pattern of temperature change despite a general pattern of annual warming in minimum temperatures. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84178
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Agriculture Business Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, Australia; Agriculture Business Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Adelaide, Australia; University of Wollongong, Sydney, Australia; Australian National University Climate Change Institute, Canberra, Australia; School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Faculty of Science, Monash University, Clayton Campus, Melbourne, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Crimp S.J.,Gobbett D.,Kokic P.,et al. Recent seasonal and long-term changes in southern Australian frost occurrence[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,139(1)