globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1689-y
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84966713006
论文题名:
Natural hazards in Australia: floods
作者: Johnson F.; White C.J.; van Dijk A.; Ekstrom M.; Evans J.P.; Jakob D.; Kiem A.S.; Leonard M.; Rouillard A.; Westra S.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 139, 期:1
起始页码: 21
结束页码: 35
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Catchments ; Floods ; Hazards ; Rain ; Uncertainty analysis ; Catchment response ; Feedback mechanisms ; Historical floods ; Hydrological modelling ; Modelling framework ; Research questions ; Spatial and temporal scale ; Spatio-temporal scale ; Flood control ; antecedent conditions ; catchment ; climate modeling ; extreme event ; feedback mechanism ; flood ; historical perspective ; hydrological modeling ; landscape change ; natural hazard ; precipitation intensity ; spatiotemporal analysis ; Australia
英文摘要: Floods are caused by a number of interacting factors, making it remarkably difficult to explain changes in flood hazard. This paper reviews the current understanding of historical trends and variability in flood hazard across Australia. Links between flood and rainfall trends cannot be made due to the influence of climate processes over a number of spatial and temporal scales as well as landscape changes that affect the catchment response. There are also still considerable uncertainties in future rainfall projections, particularly for sub-daily extreme rainfall events. This is in addition to the inherent uncertainty in hydrological modelling such as antecedent conditions and feedback mechanisms. Research questions are posed based on the current state of knowledge. These include a need for high-resolution climate modelling studies and efforts in compiling and analysing databases of sub-daily rainfall and flood records. Finally there is a need to develop modelling frameworks that can deal with the interaction between climate processes at different spatio-temporal scales, so that historical flood trends can be better explained and future flood behaviour understood. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:86   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84179
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: UNSW Water Research Centre, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW, Sydney, Australia; School of Engineering and ICT, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia; Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia; Fenner School of Environment & Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; Land and Water, Commonwealth Science and Industrial Research Organisation, Canberra, Australia; Climate Change Research Centre & ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, UNSW, Sydney, Australia; Environment and Research Division, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; Centre for Water, Climate and Land Use (CWCL), Faculty of Science and IT, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia; School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia; School of Plant Biology, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; Centre for GeoGenetics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, Denmark

Recommended Citation:
Johnson F.,White C.J.,van Dijk A.,et al. Natural hazards in Australia: floods[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,139(1)
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