DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1724-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84975127288
论文题名: Adaptation services and pathways for the management of temperate montane forests under transformational climate change
作者: Colloff M.J. ; Doherty M.D. ; Lavorel S. ; Dunlop M. ; Wise R.M. ; Prober S.M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 138, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 267
结束页码: 282
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Ecology
; Ecosystems
; Forestry
; Adaptation services
; Alternative state
; Ecosystem services
; Environmental change
; Institutional rules
; South-eastern Australia
; State-and-transition models
; Temperate montane forest
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; climate change
; decision making
; ecosystem dynamics
; ecosystem management
; ecosystem service
; forest management
; montane forest
; temperate forest
; warming
; wildfire
; Australia
英文摘要: In regions prone to wildfire, a major driver of ecosystem change is increased frequency and intensity of fire events caused by a warming, drying climate. Uncertainty over the nature and extent of change creates challenges for how to manage ecosystems subject to altered structure and function under climate change. Using montane forests in south-eastern Australia as a case study, we addressed this issue by developing an ecosystem state-and-transition model based on a synthesis of expert knowledge and published data, with fire frequency and intensity as drivers. We then used four steps to determine future adaptation options: (1) estimation of changes in ecosystem services under each ecosystem state to identify adaptation services: the ecosystem processes and services that help people adapt to environmental change; (2) identification and sequencing of decision points to maintain each ecosystem state or allow transition to an alternative state; (3) analysis of interactions between societal values, scientific and management knowledge and institutional rules (vrk) required to reframe the decision context for future management, and (4) determining options for an adaptation pathway for management of montane forests under climate change. Our approach is transferable to other ecosystems for which alternative states can be predicted under climate change. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84212
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: CSIRO Land and Water, GPO Box 1700ACT, Australia; Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Acton, ACT, Australia; Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, CNRS - Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France; CSIRO Land and Water, Private Bag 5, Wembley, WA, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Colloff M.J.,Doherty M.D.,Lavorel S.,et al. Adaptation services and pathways for the management of temperate montane forests under transformational climate change[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,138(2018-01-02)