DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1729-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84978085662
论文题名: Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030
作者: Frank S. ; Böttcher H. ; Gusti M. ; Havlík P. ; Klaassen G. ; Kindermann G. ; Obersteiner M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 138, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 253
结束页码: 266
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Crops
; Emission control
; Energy conservation
; Forestry
; Greenhouse gases
; Timber
; Climate targets
; European council
; Greenhouse gas (GHG)
; Land-use change
; Ligno-cellulosics
; Policy framework
; Reduction targets
; Renewable energies
; Land use
; biomass
; climate effect
; emission
; energy policy
; European Union
; forest management
; land use change
; renewable resource
; Europe
英文摘要: A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected. © 2016, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84222
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Öko-Institut, Berlin, Germany; Lviv Polytechnic National University, Lviv, Ukraine; European Commission, Brussels, Belgium
Recommended Citation:
Frank S.,Böttcher H.,Gusti M.,et al. Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,138(2018-01-02)