DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84982862207
论文题名: Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison
作者: Smith S.J. ; Rao S. ; Riahi K. ; van Vuuren D.P. ; Calvin K.V. ; Kyle P.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 138, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 13
结束页码: 24
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aerosols
; Carbon
; Carbon dioxide
; Global warming
; Industrial emissions
; Sulfur dioxide
; Aerosol emissions
; Carbon dioxide emissions
; Energy transformation
; Historical experience
; Industrial sector
; Integrated assessment models
; Supply-side technologies
; Transportation sector
; Climate models
; aerosol
; assessment method
; black carbon
; carbon dioxide
; carbon emission
; climate change
; comparative study
; emission control
; environmental policy
; future prospect
; organic carbon
; sulfur dioxide
; technological change
; twenty first century
英文摘要: This paper compares projections over the twenty-first century of SO2, BC, and OC emissions from three technologically detailed, long-term integrated assessment models. The character of the projections and the response of emissions due to a comprehensive climate policy are discussed focusing on the sectoral level. In a continuation of historical experience, aerosol and precursor emissions are increasingly decoupled from carbon dioxide emissions over the twenty-first century due to a combination of emission controls and technology shifts over time. Implementation of a comprehensive climate policy further reduces emissions, although there is significant variation in this response by sector and by model: the response has many similarities between models for the energy transformation and transportation sectors, with more diversity in the response for the building and industrial sectors. Much of these differences can be traced to specific characteristics of reference case end-use and supply-side technology deployment and emissions control assumptions, which are detailed by sector. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84223
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Joint Global Change Research Institute, PNNL, College Park, MD, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz-1, Laxenburg, Austria; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Department of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Smith S.J.,Rao S.,Riahi K.,et al. Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,138(2018-01-02)