DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1644-y
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84961212043
论文题名: Perceived and projected flood risk and adaptation in coastal Southeast Queensland, Australia
作者: Mills M. ; Mutafoglu K. ; Adams V.M. ; Archibald C. ; Bell J. ; Leon J.X.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 136, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 523
结束页码: 537
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Behavioral research
; Climate change
; Public risks
; Risk assessment
; Risk perception
; Sea level
; Adaptation response
; Environmental factors
; Extreme events
; Flooding damages
; Individual characteristics
; Multiple barrier
; Proactive adaptations
; Public understanding
; Floods
; adaptive management
; aid reform
; climate change
; coastal zone
; damage
; environmental factor
; extreme event
; flooding
; government relations
; risk assessment
; risk perception
; sea level change
; storm surge
; Australia
; Queensland
英文摘要: Evidence on the impacts of climate change is rapidly increasing but there is little change to the speed of climate adaptation by governments and individuals. There are multiple barriers to climate adaptation, including among others: the lack of the public understanding of risks, lack of leadership and availability of resources to adapt. In this study, we assess to what extent coastal residents understand their properties’ flood risk, and what predicts their risk perception and adaptation behaviour. We surveyed 420 individuals in South East Queensland projected to be within the permanent or temporary flood zone in 2100 based on combined sea-level rise and storm surge scenarios. We assessed the correlations between the projected (i.e. objective) and perceived risk of inundation, adaptation behaviour, and the individual characteristics considered to influence risk perception and adaptation. While we found a correlation between perceived and some objective flood risks, perceived risk only partially reflected objective risk. Other factors that influenced risk perception were previous experience of flooding events, belief in climate change, risk aversion, age and gender. Factors driving risk perception varied with the type (permanent, temporary) and frequency of flooding event (1 in 20 or 1 in 100 years). Previous experience with extreme event impacts and belief in climate change influenced all future perceived risks. However, even after being impacted by an extreme event, adaptation was moderate (58 %). Personal as well as environmental factors influence the likelihood of adaptation. The moderate adaptation response within our case study is likely a result of most respondents considering large flooding events to be rare and of limited impact, and anticipating future government aid to overcome flooding damage costs. Existing attitudes towards risk, which influence the extent of proactive adaptation, should be of concern to governments who will likely be facing these costs at increasing frequencies. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84283
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD, Australia; Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD, Australia; Institute for European Environmental Policy, Brussels, Belgium; School of Law, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD, Australia; School of Science and Engineering, University of the Sunshine Coast, Maroochydore DC, QLD, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Mills M.,Mutafoglu K.,Adams V.M.,et al. Perceived and projected flood risk and adaptation in coastal Southeast Queensland, Australia[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(2018-03-04)