DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0950-x
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84886735948
论文题名: Global energy security under different climate policies, GDP growth rates and fossil resource availabilities
作者: Cherp A. ; Jewell J. ; Vinichenko V. ; Bauer N. ; De Cian E.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 136, 期: 1 起始页码: 83
结束页码: 94
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Commerce
; Energy policy
; Fossil fuels
; Risk assessment
; Climate policy
; Energy options
; Energy supplies
; Energy systems
; Fossil resources
; Integrated assessment models
; Security assessment framework
; Security implications
; Energy security
英文摘要: Energy security is one of the main drivers of energy policies. Understanding energy security implications of long-term scenarios is crucial for informed policy making, especially with respect to transformations of energy systems required to stabilize climate change. This paper evaluates energy security under several global energy scenarios, modeled in the REMIND and WITCH integrated assessment models. The paper examines the effects of long-term climate policies on energy security under different assumptions about GDP growth and fossil fuel availability. It uses a systematic energy security assessment framework and a set of global and regional indicators for risks associated with energy trade and resilience associated with diversity of energy options. The analysis shows that climate policies significantly reduce the risks and increase the resilience of energy systems in the first half of the century. Climate policies also make energy supply, energy mix, and energy trade less dependent upon assumptions of fossil resource availability and GDP growth, and thus more predictable than in the baseline scenarios. © 2013, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84309
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Central European University, Nador u.9, Budapest, Hungary; Lund University, Lund, Sweden; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schloss Platz 1, Laxenburg, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), P.O. Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, Germany; Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Isola di San Giorgio Maggiore, Venezia, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Cherp A.,Jewell J.,Vinichenko V.,et al. Global energy security under different climate policies, GDP growth rates and fossil resource availabilities[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(1)