DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0902-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84883628921
论文题名: The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
作者: De Cian E. ; Sferra F. ; Tavoni M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 136, 期: 1 起始页码: 39
结束页码: 55
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon
; Climate models
; Economic analysis
; Economics
; Emission control
; Energy efficiency
; Fossil fuel deposits
; Fossil fuels
; Fuels
; Population statistics
; Climate stabilization
; Economic opportunities
; Emission reduction
; Energy investments
; Fossil fuel resources
; Low carbon energies
; Radical innovation
; Scenario-based modeling
; Investments
英文摘要: This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model ensemble experiment, we analyze the dynamics of investments under different assumptions regarding economic and population growth as well as availability of fossil fuel resources, in the absence of a climate policy. Our analysis indicates that economic growth and the speed of income convergence across countries matters for improvements in energy efficiency, both via dedicated R&D investments but mostly through capital-energy substitution. In contrast, fossil fuel prices, by changing the relative competitiveness of energy sources, create an economic opportunity for radical innovation in the energy sector. Indeed, our results suggest that fossil fuel availability is the key driver of investments in low carbon energy innovation. However, this innovation, by itself, is not sufficient to induce emission reductions compatible with climate stabilization objectives. © 2013, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84330
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) and Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Venice, Italy; Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) and Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Milan, Italy
Recommended Citation:
De Cian E.,Sferra F.,Tavoni M.. The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(1)