DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1580-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84961188107
论文题名: Spatial modelling of rice yield losses in Tanzania due to bacterial leaf blight and leaf blast in a changing climate
作者: Duku C. ; Sparks A.H. ; Zwart S.J.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 135, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 569
结束页码: 583
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Changing climate
; Geographic areas
; Leaf blights
; Magnaporthe oryzae
; Plant disease
; Rice production
; Spatial modelling
; Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae
; Climate change
; bacterial disease
; climate change
; crop yield
; geographical distribution
; leaf
; rice
; spatial distribution
; Tanzania
; Bacteria (microorganisms)
; Magnaporthe oryzae
; Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae
英文摘要: Rice is the most rapidly growing staple food in Africa and although rice production is steadily increasing, the consumption is still out-pacing the production. In Tanzania, two important diseases in rice production are leaf blast caused by Magnaporthe oryzae and bacterial leaf blight caused by Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae. The objective of this study was to quantify rice yield losses due to these two important diseases under a changing climate. We found that bacterial leaf blight is predicted to increase causing greater losses than leaf blast in the future, with losses due to leaf blast declining. The results of this study indicate that the effects of climate change on plant disease can not only be expected to be uneven across diseases but also across geographies, as in some geographic areas losses increase but decrease in others for the same disease. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84334
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Africa Rice Center (AfricaRice), Cotonou, Benin; International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), DAPO Box 7777, Metro Manila, Philippines; Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, Wageningen, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Duku C.,Sparks A.H.,Zwart S.J.. Spatial modelling of rice yield losses in Tanzania due to bacterial leaf blight and leaf blast in a changing climate[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,135(2018-03-04)