| DOI: | 10.1007/s10584-015-1519-7
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84959125059
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| 论文题名: | Innovations in assessment and adaptation: building on the US National Climate Assessment |
| 作者: | Howden M.; Jacobs K.L.
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| 刊名: | Climatic Change
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| ISSN: | 0165-0009
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| EISSN: | 1573-1480
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 135, 期:1 | | 起始页码: | 157
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| 结束页码: | 171
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Risk management
; Adaptive capacity
; Climate assessment
; Climate response
; Decision making process
; Decision process
; Future assessment
; Path dependency
; Transitional process
; Decision making
; adaptive management
; assessment method
; climate conditions
; decision making
; monitoring system
; national planning
; policy implementation
; risk assessment
; United States
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| 英文摘要: | Well-targeted scientific assessments can support a range of decision-making processes, and contribute meaningfully to a variety of climate response strategies. This paper focuses on opportunities for climate assessments to be used more effectively to enhance adaptive capacity, particularly drawing from experiences with the third US National Climate Assessment (NCA3). We discuss the evolution of thinking about adaptation as a process and the importance of societal values, as well as the role of assessments in this evolution. We provide a rationale for prioritizing future assessment activities, with an expectation of moving beyond the concept of climate adaptation as an explicit and separable activity from “normal” planning and implementation in the future. Starting with the values and resources that need to be protected or developed by communities rather than starting with an analysis of changes in climate drivers can provide opportunities for reframing climate issues in ways that are likely to result in more positive outcomes. A critical part of successful risk management is monitoring and evaluating the systems of interest to decision-makers and the effectiveness of interventions following integration of climate considerations into ongoing strategic planning activities and implementation. Increasingly this will require consideration of path dependency and coincident events. We argue that climate adaptation is a transitional process that bridges the gap between historically time-tested ways of doing business and the kinds of decision processes that may be required in the future, and that scientific assessments will be increasingly central to these transitions in decision processes over time. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84370
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: | CSIRO Agriculture, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, Australia; University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Howden M.,Jacobs K.L.. Innovations in assessment and adaptation: building on the US National Climate Assessment[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,135(1)
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