DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1494-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84959162812
论文题名: Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment
作者: Kunkel K.E. ; Moss R. ; Parris A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 135, 期: 1 起始页码: 55
结束页码: 68
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Economics
; Sea level
; Assessment activities
; Climate assessment
; Future assessment
; Guidance document
; Issues and challenges
; Scenario development
; Scenario Planning
; Socio-economic conditions
; Land use
; climate change
; environmental assessment
; environmental monitoring
; innovation
; research work
; science and technology
; sea level change
英文摘要: Scenarios for the Third National Climate Assessment (NCA3) were produced for physical climate and sea level rise with substantial input from disciplinary and regional experts. These scenarios underwent extensive review and were published as NOAA Technical Reports. For land use/cover and socioeconomic conditions, scenarios already developed by other agencies were specified for use in the NCA3. Efforts to enhance participatory scenario planning as an assessment activity were pursued, but with limited success. Issues and challenges included the timing of availability of scenarios, the need for guidance in use of scenarios, the need for approaches to nest information within multiple scales and sectors, engagement and collaboration of end users in scenario development, and development of integrated scenarios. Future assessments would benefit from an earlier start to scenarios development, the provision of training in addition to guidance documents, new and flexible approaches for nesting information, ongoing engagement and advice from both scientific and end user communities, and the development of consistent and integrated scenarios. © 2015, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84380
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites-North Carolina, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC, United States; NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC, United States; University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Climate Program Office, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Recommended Citation:
Kunkel K.E.,Moss R.,Parris A.. Innovations in science and scenarios for assessment[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,135(1)