DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1540-x
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84958749089
论文题名: Assessment of balanced burden-sharing in the 2050 EU climate/energy roadmap: a metamodeling approach
作者: Babonneau F. ; Haurie A. ; Vielle M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 134, 期: 4 起始页码: 505
结束页码: 519
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon
; Carbon dioxide
; Climate agreement
; Climate targets
; Computable general equilibrium model
; Emission rights
; European Countries
; Household Consumption
; Non cooperations
; Non-cooperative
; Cost accounting
; abatement cost
; carbon dioxide
; computable general equilibrium analysis
; design method
; emission
; environmental policy
; European Union
; future prospect
; implementation process
; international agreement
; numerical model
; Europe
英文摘要: In this paper we propose a non-cooperative meta-game approach to designing and assessing climate agreements among 28 European countries that will be compatible with the EU 2050 climate target. Our proposed game model is identified through statistical emulation of a large set of numerical simulations performed with the computable general equilibrium model GEMINI-E3. In this game, the players are the 28 European countries, the payoffs are related to welfare losses due to abatements and the strategies correspond to the supply of emission rights on the European carbon market. We show it is possible to design a fair burden-sharing rule that equalizes welfare losses between countries to approximately 1.2 % of their discounted household consumption. The associated European CO2 price in 2050 reaches $1100, a figure in line with previous studies. Lastly, the paper discusses various implementation issues of these types of negotiations and evaluates the cost of non-cooperation among EU countries. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84390
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: ORDECSYS, Place de l’Etrier 4, Chêne-Bougeries, Switzerland; LEURE, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Babonneau F.,Haurie A.,Vielle M.. Assessment of balanced burden-sharing in the 2050 EU climate/energy roadmap: a metamodeling approach[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,134(4)