DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1524-x
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84951567059
论文题名: Assessing stakeholder impacts and adaptation to low water-levels: the Trent-Severn waterway
作者: Coleman J.M.A. ; Sosa-Rodriguez F.S. ; Mortsch L.D. ; Deadman P.J.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 134, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 115
结束页码: 129
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Complex management
; Impacts and adaptation
; Inland waters
; Management practices
; On potentials
; Ontario , Canada
; Water levels
; anthropogenic effect
; climate change
; Delphi analysis
; environmental assessment
; future prospect
; perception
; stakeholder
; water level
; Canada
; Ontario [Canada]
; Trent-Severn Waterway
英文摘要: The Trent-Severn Waterway in central Ontario, Canada, is a large inland water system. It is managed for a broad range of stakeholders with different needs and expectations, creating a complex management context. Although variations in water levels occur, extreme low water-level events may increase in the future due to climate change, challenging management practices, in addition to requiring adaptation to reduce impacts. A modified policy Delphi was used to generate and evaluate ideas related to historical and future water-level impacts and adaptations. The paper presents the perspectives of three groups—cottagers and homeowners (CH), government (G), and industry and business (IB)—on their experiences with historic low water-levels, as well as their perspectives on future impacts and adaptations using two water-level scenarios: a moderate decrease of 25 cm and a more severe 50 cm decline. Shared impacts and adaptations (individual and collective) were identified along with those that were unique to a group. The likelihood of and consensus on potential impacts and most adaptations increased with the severity of water-level reduction. All groups indicated a higher likelihood of using collective rather than individual adaptations with the severe scenario, and in some cases, their contacts for assistance with adaptation broadened. While the modified policy Delphi requires significant effort by the analyst and respondents, it provides a useful framework for generating and analyzing perceptions and preferences of diverse stakeholders. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84432
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, 200 University Ave W, Waterloo, ON, Canada; Department of Economics, Research Area of Economic Growth and Environment, Metropolitan Autonomous University-Azcapotzalco, San Pablo 180, Mexico City, Mexico; University of Waterloo, 200 University Ave W, Waterloo, ON, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Coleman J.M.A.,Sosa-Rodriguez F.S.,Mortsch L.D.,et al. Assessing stakeholder impacts and adaptation to low water-levels: the Trent-Severn waterway[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,134(2018-01-02)