DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1441-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84948064128
论文题名: Potential and limitations of the attribution of climate change impacts for informing loss and damage discussions and policies
作者: Huggel C. ; Stone D. ; Eicken H. ; Hansen G.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 133, 期: 3 起始页码: 453
结束页码: 467
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Environmental protection
; Environmental regulations
; Product liability
; Anthropogenic emissions
; Case-studies
; Climate change impact
; Climate policy
; Environmental law
; Human rights
; Risk reductions
; Scientific evidence
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate effect
; environmental justice
; environmental policy
; human rights
; risk assessment
; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
; Alaska
; Austria
; Colombia
; United States
英文摘要: The issue of climate related loss and damage (L&D) has re-emerged and gained significant traction in international climate policy in recent years. However, many aspects remain unclear, including how aspects of liability and compensation in relation with L&D will be treated under the UNFCCC, human rights and environmental law. Furthermore, the type of scientific evidence required to link climate change impacts for each of these L&D mechanisms needs to be clarified. Here we analyze to which degree different types of scientific evidence can inform L&D discussions and policies. We distinguish between (i) L&D observation, (ii) understanding causation, and (iii) linking L&D to anthropogenic emissions through attribution studies. We draw on three case studies from Australia, Colombia and Alaska to demonstrate the relevance of the different types of evidence. We then discuss the potential and limitations of these types of scientific evidence, in particular attribution, for informing current L&D discussions and policies. Attribution (iii) sets the highest bar, but also provides the most complete set of information to support adaptation, risk reduction and L&D policies. However, rather than suggesting that attribution is a necessary requirement for L&D policies we want to highlight its potential for facilitating a more thematically structured, and thus hopefully a more constructive, policy and justice discussion. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84448
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, Zurich, Switzerland; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States; International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK, United States; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Huggel C.,Stone D.,Eicken H.,et al. Potential and limitations of the attribution of climate change impacts for informing loss and damage discussions and policies[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,133(3)