DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1468-1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84951568853
论文题名: A participatory method to enhance the collective ability to adapt to rapid glacier loss: the case of mountain communities in Tajikistan
作者: Christmann S. ; Aw-Hassan A.A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 133, 期: 2 起始页码: 267
结束页码: 282
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Agriculture
; Landforms
; Rural areas
; Water conservation
; Adaptive capacity
; Agricultural areas
; Climate change indicators
; Conflict management
; Environmental enhancements
; Irrigated agriculture
; Mountain economies
; Participatory methods
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; capacity building
; climate change
; climate effect
; environmental education
; environmental monitoring
; glacier dynamics
; mountain region
; participatory approach
; planning method
; rural area
; Tajikistan
英文摘要: The rapid loss of small glaciers worldwide might result in mountain villages changing from having plenty of water during the growing season, to facing a scarcity even in scenarios with adaptation. Climate-change effects might cause the need for significant changes in rural mountain economies that currently rely on irrigated agriculture, pastoralism and labor migration. Previous research mainly focuses on geophysical aspects and little is known about the local ability to understand climate-change indicators or local collective adaptive capacity. A 2010 participatory case study in the Zerafshan Range, Tajikistan, disclosed a local lack of awareness of climate change and its consequences. We present a social learning method based on scenarios and visualization. The process exposed a remarkable potential for comprehensive adaptation, including in water harvesting, choice of crops and livestock, environmental enhancement, skills and conflict management. We recommend the approach as a model to promote local collective adaptive capacity development. The case study revealed high risks of massive out-migration from mountain villages if adaptation starts too late: countries with a high proportion of mountain agriculture might see significant losses of agricultural area, a reduction in food production and an increase in conflicts in areas where immigration occurs. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84483
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: ICARDA, Station Exp. INRA-Quich, Agdal, Rabat-Institutes, B.P. 6299, Rabat, Morocco; ICARDA-Headquarters, P.O. Box 950764, Amman, Jordan
Recommended Citation:
Christmann S.,Aw-Hassan A.A.. A participatory method to enhance the collective ability to adapt to rapid glacier loss: the case of mountain communities in Tajikistan[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,133(2)